Nassau County aging as young adults leave suburbs

Photo Credit: Flickr

Looks like Nassau County’s future population is in with the old and out with the young.

According to projections made the demographic study by Nassau County’s Office of the Comptroller, by 2024 about 27% of Nassau County’s population will be aged 60 and up. The population of children aged 0-9 will make up a mere 9% of Nassau County and the amount of residents aged 10-19 is projected to decrease from 14%* to 12% of the population. These demographic trends could cause many complications for the county’s school, real estate and tax sectors.


In the study, Comptroller George Maragos cites high property taxes, expensive living arrangements and unemployment as possible reasons for the drastic changes.

Cost of living

CNN Money reports that average Nassau County property taxes are over $9,000. Young adults may find it more appealing to live and work in the city, as the salary for many professions in NYC pay almost $5,000 more than they do in Nassau County.**

Proximity

As Christopher Niedt, academic director at Hofstra University’s National Center for Suburban Studies, said in a New York Times article before the study was released, “younger adults are becoming more drawn to denser, more compact urban environments that offer a number of amenities within walking distance of where they live.”

Moving away and staying away for college

One possible reason for the decline in children aged 10-19 is the fact that many college aged residents of Nassau County end up leaving home for college. This could mean that they leave the state of New York entirely, or just go to schools elsewhere in New York and never come back.

Starting a family later

In Joseph Berger’s article for the New York Times, Edwin J. McCormack, communications director for Westchester County executive Rob Astorino notes that “Parents used to be 35ish, now they’re 45ish.” This could account for the reason why Nassau County’s number of children drop so drastically by 2024, since the young adults aged 20 might not want to start families until 2029.

Millennials are starting families later, some waiting until their mid 40s to have children. Photo Credit: Pixabay

Perhaps the reason for the young adult exodus can be summed up simply by millennial Jenna Grasso of Farmingdale. “I’ve lived here my whole life,” she says, “and I feel like there’s nothing really left here for younger people.”

* 2012 population estimate, as sited in Figure 5 of the study.
** As reported in the data from Figure 10 of the study.